{"id":68290,"date":"2025-08-06T15:13:27","date_gmt":"2025-08-06T13:13:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lesvolcansnews.net\/?p=68290"},"modified":"2025-08-06T15:13:27","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T13:13:27","slug":"adf-27-ans-de-guerre-six-operations-militaires-et-toujours-la-meme-menace-tribune-de-fred-mastaki","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lesvolcansnews.net\/?p=68290","title":{"rendered":"ADF : 27 ans de guerre, six op\u00e9rations militaires\u2026 et toujours la m\u00eame menace (Tribune de Fred Mastaki)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Depuis 1998, l’Est de la R\u00e9publique D\u00e9mocratique du Congo vit au rythme d\u2019une guerre sans fin contre les Forces D\u00e9mocratiques Alli\u00e9es (ADF). Malgr\u00e9 six grandes op\u00e9rations militaires men\u00e9es sur pr\u00e8s de trois d\u00e9cennies, la menace persiste, s\u2019\u00e9tend, et continue de faire des victimes. Cette long\u00e9vit\u00e9 interroge et alarme : que faut-il de plus pour en finir avec cette n\u00e9buleuse meurtri\u00e8re ?<\/strong><\/p>\n

D’une r\u00e9bellion ougandaise \u00e0 une hydre djihadiste<\/strong><\/p>\n

Les ADF sont n\u00e9es en Ouganda dans les ann\u00e9es 1990, au d\u00e9part comme une coalition islamiste oppos\u00e9e au r\u00e9gime de Kampala. Rapidement chass\u00e9es vers l’Est de la RDC, elles y trouvent refuge, s’installent, et se transforment. Loin de dispara\u00eetre, elles se renforcent, abandonnant progressivement leur lutte politique initiale au profit d\u2019un projet jihadiste transnational.<\/p>\n

En avril 2019, les ADF sont officiellement reconnues comme affili\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00c9tat islamique, au sein de sa \u00ab Province d\u2019Afrique centrale \u00bb (ISCAP). Ce lien, amorc\u00e9 discr\u00e8tement d\u00e8s 2017, est confirm\u00e9 par des revendications publiques d\u2019attaques. Il a profond\u00e9ment modifi\u00e9 leur strat\u00e9gie, leur structure, et surtout leur degr\u00e9 de dangerosit\u00e9. Les ADF ne sont plus un simple groupe arm\u00e9 local : elles sont aujourd\u2019hui un acteur du terrorisme r\u00e9gional.<\/p>\n

Six op\u00e9rations militaires, pour quel r\u00e9sultat ?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Face \u00e0 l\u2019ampleur des violences, l\u2019\u00c9tat congolais a lanc\u00e9 plusieurs campagnes militaires : Mountain Sweep (1998), Safisha Ruwenzori (2005), Radi Strike (2010), Keba I (2014), Sukola I (2015), Shujaa (2021). Ces op\u00e9rations, recens\u00e9es dans le m\u00e9moire du professeur Jaribu Muliwavyo (\u00ab Radicalisation et extr\u00e9misme violent en RDC \u00bb), montrent une continuit\u00e9 de l’engagement militaire congolais.<\/p>\n

Des chefs ont \u00e9t\u00e9 neutralis\u00e9s, des caches d\u00e9truites, certaines localit\u00e9s reprises. Mais \u00e0 chaque fois, les ADF se sont adapt\u00e9es, relocalis\u00e9es, et ont repris leurs attaques. Le cycle est connu : offensive, repli, r\u00e9surgence. La menace, elle, demeure. L\u2019efficacit\u00e9 des op\u00e9rations reste limit\u00e9e dans le temps et dans l\u2019espace.<\/p>\n

Une organisation en constante mutation<\/strong><\/p>\n

Selon le chercheur Caleb Weiss (Bridgeway Foundation), les ADF op\u00e8rent aujourd\u2019hui avec un appui structurel de l\u2019\u00c9tat islamique, notamment \u00e0 travers le Maktab al-Karar, un bureau de coordination et de financement li\u00e9 \u00e0 la branche somalienne. Ce r\u00e9seau assure des ressources logistiques, humaines et id\u00e9ologiques qui rendent le groupe r\u00e9silient, voire expansif.<\/p>\n

M\u00eame lorsque ce lien semble affaibli, les ADF disposent de relais locaux, d\u2019une capacit\u00e9 d\u2019enr\u00f4lement dans les zones marginalis\u00e9es, et d\u2019une strat\u00e9gie de terreur qui leur permet de garder l\u2019initiative sur le terrain. Leurs capacit\u00e9s \u00e9voluent, mais ne s\u2019\u00e9teignent pas.<\/p>\n

L\u2019\u00c9tat congolais : des efforts visibles, mais insuffisants<\/strong><\/p>\n

Il faut le reconna\u00eetre : l\u2019\u00c9tat congolais n\u2019a pas \u00e9t\u00e9 inactif. Des moyens militaires ont \u00e9t\u00e9 d\u00e9ploy\u00e9s, la coop\u00e9ration avec l\u2019Ouganda s\u2019est renforc\u00e9e, les services de renseignement ont \u00e9t\u00e9 impliqu\u00e9s, et des zones sensibles s\u00e9curis\u00e9es. \u00c0 court terme, certains r\u00e9sultats sont visibles, notamment la r\u00e9duction d\u2019attaques dans quelques zones cibl\u00e9es.<\/p>\n

Mais la menace persiste, parce qu\u2019elle d\u00e9passe le simple champ militaire. Tant que la r\u00e9ponse se limite aux armes, sans strat\u00e9gie globale, la situation reste fragile. L\u2019\u00c9tat ne peut gagner cette guerre seul, ni uniquement avec des fusils.<\/p>\n

Conclusion : une menace persistante, un avenir en p\u00e9ril si rien ne change<\/strong><\/p>\n

Vingt-sept ans apr\u00e8s les premi\u00e8res offensives, la menace ADF est toujours l\u00e0. Ni Mountain Sweep, Safisha Ruwenzori, Radi Strike, Keba I, Sukola I, Shujaa n\u2019ont suffi. Chaque fois que le groupe semble affaibli, il se r\u00e9organise, se red\u00e9ploie, frappe ailleurs, souvent plus violemment.<\/p>\n

Si cette r\u00e9silience inqui\u00e8te, c\u2019est parce qu\u2019elle r\u00e9v\u00e8le une v\u00e9rit\u00e9 inconfortable : l\u2019approche actuelle reste incompl\u00e8te. Sans une action plus globale, les ADF continueront \u00e0 repr\u00e9senter l\u2019une des plus graves menaces s\u00e9curitaires et humanitaires de la r\u00e9gion.<\/p>\n

Le groupe arm\u00e9 s\u2019adapte, enr\u00f4le, se finance, et tisse des liens avec des r\u00e9seaux jihadistes plus larges. En face, si la r\u00e9ponse reste uniquement militaire, sans y associer les jeunes d\u00e9s\u0153uvr\u00e9s, les communaut\u00e9s locales, sans s\u2019attaquer aux causes profondes de la radicalisation, la RDC court le risque d\u2019un enlisement encore plus profond.<\/p>\n

Il ne s\u2019agit plus seulement de repousser une menace. Il faut aujourd\u2019hui emp\u00eacher qu\u2019elle ne devienne permanente. Le statu quo est un danger. Si rien ne change dans la m\u00e9thode, la guerre contre les ADF pourrait encore durer des d\u00e9cennies, avec son cort\u00e8ge de morts, de d\u00e9plac\u00e9s, et de territoires livr\u00e9s \u00e0 la peur.<\/p>\n

Il est temps de b\u00e2tir une riposte plus intelligente, plus proche des populations, et plus audacieuse. Car \u00e0 d\u00e9faut, la RDC risque d\u2019ajouter aux 27 ann\u00e9es de guerre, 27 autres de silence, de sang, et d\u2019impuissance.<\/p>\n

Fred Mastaki<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Depuis 1998, l’Est de la R\u00e9publique D\u00e9mocratique du Congo vit au rythme d\u2019une guerre sans fin contre les Forces D\u00e9mocratiques Alli\u00e9es (ADF). Malgr\u00e9 six grandes op\u00e9rations militaires men\u00e9es sur pr\u00e8s<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":68291,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-securite"],"yoast_head":"\nADF : 27 ans de guerre, six op\u00e9rations militaires\u2026 et toujours la m\u00eame menace (Tribune de Fred Mastaki) - LES VOLCANS NEWS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lesvolcansnews.net\/?p=68290\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ADF : 27 ans de guerre, six op\u00e9rations militaires\u2026 et toujours la m\u00eame menace (Tribune de Fred Mastaki) - LES VOLCANS NEWS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Depuis 1998, l’Est de la R\u00e9publique D\u00e9mocratique du Congo vit au rythme d\u2019une guerre sans fin contre les Forces D\u00e9mocratiques Alli\u00e9es (ADF). 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